Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma vs. Inter end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8a54771736cc06894bdfeb3637f614b8ccbc567f202a77e1ecf0b3d7cc2ae95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 77c | 2,768$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.57 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 1,762$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.05 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…a992backed No | 70c | 1,454$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…a851backed Yes | 30c | 1,453$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 68c | 1,390$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.94 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 70c | 1,229$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 15c | 990$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 70c | 648$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 10c | 458.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 23c | 359.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…dc27backed Yes | 31c | 316.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 281$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed Yes | 32c | 200.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…08d7backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…a584backed Yes | 23c | 189.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 75c | 186.32$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 27c | 178$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 23c | 121.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 19c | 115.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…278bbacked Yes | 31c | 112.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 16c | 73.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 69c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 24c | 46.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 69c | 29.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 70c | 28.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…97a2backed No | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 69c | 25.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 68c | 23.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma vs. Inter end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-18?No won
- Will Inter win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.