TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$348,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$416,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,285 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No55c54,745$29,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,876.42133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes46c50,000$22,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,199.910643.4%46 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c44,417$23,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,800.012,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No54c21,534$11,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,628.1617853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes45c19,504$8,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,681.673545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes45c11,810$5,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,472.7816136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No55c11,554$6,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,354.789857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No54c10,809$5,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,812.414952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Yes45c9,999$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.661464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.32per pick33cpaid+60.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c9,697$4,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,330.8629846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes46c8,856$4,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,782.37933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad06…b341backed Yes46c8,730$4,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,714.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef0…2237backed No54c8,722$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,709.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes47c8,469$4,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,462.024143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No55c7,206$3,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,972.854949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No53c7,202$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.217052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No24c6,965$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.889336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb148…9355backed Yes46c6,622$3,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,576.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef83…e8b6backed Yes46c6,517$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…b082backed No54c6,511$3,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,516.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes46c6,470$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,509.749146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70039842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4743…9a63backed Yes51c4,900$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.88825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-55.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No54c4,251$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.586653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes44c4,242$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.2320343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No55c4,000$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.9914235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No55c3,600$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.9618160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf707…e8cebacked Yes47c3,375$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c3,240$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.6458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No53c3,194$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.8710051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes45c3,183$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.051662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5335…0e2fbacked No54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No53c2,474$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.2523247.4%110 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked No55c2,200$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes46c2,181$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.931650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.913850%19 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a2…695fbacked Yes46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0088…5f72backed Yes76c2,148$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes78c2,028$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.112560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0803256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed Yes47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9919453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes51c1,974$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.771631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaca…c1f9backed No54c1,877$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7822…f8b8backed Yes46c1,875$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c1,785$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.041,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes49c1,725$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.756552.3%34 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes46c1,630$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.434151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes46c1,618$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.6810845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No55c1,531$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.1339746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes44c1,440$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.463751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked No37c1,409$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes37c1,383$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.5521037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No53c1,370$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.237544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes45c1,247$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.531625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes44c1,200$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66719028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes43c1,149$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.31060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d6…00d5backed Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.05650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked No9c1,067$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.482642.3%11 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+78%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Yes37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5506734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes47c978.87$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.85044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes45c921.69$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.939547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed No55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No34c868.96$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.0238343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes47c853.49$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.491844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes43c800$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4553043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4242458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No62c797.68$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.568259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Yes46c796.09$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.811060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc6…8accbacked Yes46c770.57$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.115100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+95.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2258…29dfbacked No56c753.95$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.21875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No55c699.98$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9911649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No55c677$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.3511950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc5…441ebacked Yes46c676.43$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes64c652.23$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.412962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes46c641.3$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.32441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes48c627.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.393847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes76c625$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15020462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Yes40c575$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.565349.1%26 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2510…621cbacked Yes46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.481560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ae…bbbabacked Yes48c541.67$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc304…2c49backed Yes45c516$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a2…36f2backed Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27519755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf11c…0d3dbacked Yes47c490.32$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No27c487.25$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5613048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes43c481$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.17812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick5cpaid-70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1915250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No54c444$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7619150.3%96 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No54c435$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.922547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e8…0596backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.785850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c41…3f93backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No54c424.99$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7411245.5%51 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.