Champions League · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac244f7004fde31d2f64c84f4bf8d97d7f077b5bc8a7ee9bc383776d8775b9af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc919…a162backed Yes | 30c | 10,068$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.98 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 8,997$6,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.45 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 77c | 5,018$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.13 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.97 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 26c | 2,916$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.62 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 12c | 2,874$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.38 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +78%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 28c | 2,764$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.37 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,664$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed No | 70c | 2,618$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.79 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,465$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.77 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 2,435$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.89 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 16c | 2,200$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 2,050$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes | 29c | 1,750$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Yes | 27c | 1,675$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 75c | 1,542$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 24c | 1,517$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.85 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 69c | 1,234$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.54 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…4526backed Yes | 25c | 1,174$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 1,163$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.73 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 77c | 1,119$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac14backed Yes | 30c | 1,015$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed No | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…4f06backed No | 71c | 999.97$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…4c78backed Yes | 27c | 998.27$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 965.06$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.87 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 866.41$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 31c | 864.52$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 71c | 847.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.81 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…6a34backed No | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 27c | 703.84$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 702.22$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.73 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 71c | 701.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 72c | 610$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Yes | 28c | 606.49$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 29c | 598.29$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 29c | 569$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 28c | 500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked No | 70c | 484.64$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 69c | 434.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.83 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed No | 75c | 434.02$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…e0e8backed Yes | 31c | 384.06$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 71c | 380.28$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 73c | 361.64$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 29c | 340.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Yes | 29c | 339.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed No | 71c | 303$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 71c | 282$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 29c | 280.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 252.11$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…495dbacked Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 72c | 239.43$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 31c | 235.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed No | 70c | 227.14$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cde…d60bbacked Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 30c | 204.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…3418backed Yes | 29c | 202.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…ee3dbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 29c | 192.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 76c | 180.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc43d…8f2bbacked No | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 70c | 162.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…81b8backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 29c | 154$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 26c | 144.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 71c | 140.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3665…0212backed No | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…9f0abacked Yes | 29c | 135.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e08…068dbacked Yes | 31c | 129.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe052…3108backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…2803backed Yes | 32c | 119.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 118$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18eb…a597backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked No | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 32c | 103.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…3f03backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.