TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-11-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No41c34,999$14,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,699.621237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c26,198$14,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,451.823,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed No53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4001050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No45c20,000$8,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,086.923745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes59c13,399$7,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,905.629265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes56c9,215$5,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,115.284746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5402161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes50c3,053$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.098636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No39c2,766$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.9813327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No39c2,483$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.063444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes56c2,160$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.737851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Yes56c2,143$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1202425%6 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.958124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes47c1,625$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.6310860.2%65 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes51c1,573$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.291747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes51c1,549$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.7784850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Yes57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c1,356$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.6214740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No42c1,356$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.191338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No44c1,313$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.315151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes56c1,177$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.973748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes47c1,127$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.7944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked No46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.121361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes55c1,082$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.187848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes58c1,017$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4905156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes53c904.29$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.22,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes58c862.18$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.062737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes60c758.76$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.264854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3dc…d8b2backed Yes52c673.08$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes56c646.43$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3621464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No39c635.07$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.3910452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Yes59c593.34$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-75.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed Yes58c520.14$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes45c520$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4112166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes44c499.79$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.914436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005026%13 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes51c478.57$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452540%10 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes52c477.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Yes62c452.79$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Yes59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes4c414.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.166139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Yes47c364.49$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-71.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3600…606fbacked Yes54c345.06$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.18714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-63.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d6…6f8cbacked Yes52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes52c217.29$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.996323.8%15 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No38c214.45$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.966949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-62.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-60.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes57c178.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes58c156.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.64252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked No45c154.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12bc…f246backed Yes61c143.48$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes57c140$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.23345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed No47c128.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.642339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe96c…3c52backed Yes62c122.58$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+65.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No39c110.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.79037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes48c110.67$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.122321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No62c109.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7111644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes61c108$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.583672.2%26 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8821…3914backed Yes56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-82.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes59c100.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.011643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.331546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a75…ed14backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6120056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf82…2f6dbacked Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba8…500abacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9be2…829fbacked Yes59c92.35$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.054522.2%10 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x406c…bdc6backed Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c0…681cbacked Yes57c88.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No59c87.76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0912247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a5…5e56backed Yes58c87.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1f6…2ad8backed Yes58c86.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2738…6412backed Yes58c86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Yes60c85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e9…39b7backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91a8…2db7backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.88351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fc…4a59backed Yes59c76.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.