Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec0aa4753f3aa4356ef8e83782de6a74e74fda21a2b8cbade46619c07e0e9131
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 18c | 4,502$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.88 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 2,550$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 17c | 2,400$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 17c | 2,108$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.71 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 18c | 999.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.6 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 889.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 17c | 464.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 17c | 454$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 433.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 18c | 392$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 16c | 299.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 17c | 288.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Yes | 17c | 254.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 167$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 18c | 160$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddde…2e88backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcff2…81bcbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-11-06?No won
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.