TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof XLG Gaming, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed G2 Esports74c22,911$17,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,908.6554751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked XLG Gaming26c20,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20017948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports74c6,000$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56052155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked XLG Gaming26c6,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9726738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked XLG Gaming28c4,973$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.6515431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked G2 Esports72c4,944$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.3928955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed G2 Esports73c3,500$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9819860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming15c3,479$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.021,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed XLG Gaming28c2,900$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed XLG Gaming14c2,820$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8746326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed XLG Gaming25c2,600$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65041734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked XLG Gaming16c2,232$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.026647%31 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked XLG Gaming18c2,026$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.1428743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked XLG Gaming27c1,870$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.940%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6297…1e59backed XLG Gaming27c1,850$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.492944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed G2 Esports71c1,812$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.371050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked XLG Gaming19c1,638$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3335142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed XLG Gaming26c1,292$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1417349.7%86 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked XLG Gaming16c1,282$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3450944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked G2 Esports74c1,274$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.6616347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed XLG Gaming28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3368640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed XLG Gaming27c1,129$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.876848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed XLG Gaming26c1,116$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.165147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed G2 Esports73c1,096$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8925660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked XLG Gaming29c1,008$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29513455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked G2 Esports73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27026450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed XLG Gaming18c999.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17732245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed G2 Esports77c992.65$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9922344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed G2 Esports71c918.93$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.6825453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked XLG Gaming25c840$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.825444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed XLG Gaming19c824.33$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.252245.5%10 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+241.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked G2 Esports73c817.81$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8115343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked XLG Gaming27c811.9$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.55660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked XLG Gaming25c793.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5313043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed G2 Esports74c792$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.925246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed XLG Gaming15c719.4$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7523732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed XLG Gaming13c715.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.088347%39 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming22c703$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.893049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked G2 Esports74c700$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed XLG Gaming15c698.52$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7119040%76 W · 114 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed XLG Gaming29c658.73$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.214955.7%83 W · 66 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed G2 Esports74c503.93$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0262156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed G2 Esports74c501.29$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2918641.4%77 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked G2 Esports72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1408348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed G2 Esports73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13563955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked XLG Gaming17c459.67$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.542352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked XLG Gaming15c429.4$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4115232.9%50 W · 102 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked XLG Gaming27c428.15$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.628747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed G2 Esports71c349.68$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.144351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked XLG Gaming26c306$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.079040%36 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed G2 Esports73c291$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed XLG Gaming15c290.18$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5854342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd20…24dabacked XLG Gaming18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505523.6%13 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked XLG Gaming18c276.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6921136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed G2 Esports74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.276454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked XLG Gaming27c250.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4270043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed XLG Gaming25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.593148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked XLG Gaming23c242.22$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6342140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked G2 Esports72c235$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.834443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed XLG Gaming14c231.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4944342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked G2 Esports72c204.61$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5955637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked G2 Esports78c201$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.584957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed XLG Gaming20c200.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.198145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed G2 Esports71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5853442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed G2 Esports72c199.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5621457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked XLG Gaming17c193.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.630835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked XLG Gaming21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011735%41 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed XLG Gaming20c190$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed XLG Gaming17c183.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5426932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming15c181.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3888844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked XLG Gaming27c164.12$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3116451.8%85 W · 79 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked G2 Esports72c153.49$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9860154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x497e…2dc2backed G2 Esports79c152.03$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.03875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked XLG Gaming27c144$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3123644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7908…713abacked XLG Gaming27c140$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.84748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed G2 Esports73c135$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4528252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976f…8a71backed G2 Esports74c131.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.211070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked XLG Gaming17c130.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3296245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked XLG Gaming28c111.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.115464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed XLG Gaming12c110$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.29744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports80c108.41$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.751,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29ee…32a0backed G2 Esports72c104.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed XLG Gaming13c103.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6381134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Esports73c101.7$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.461,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed G2 Esports73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273956.4%22 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked G2 Esports74c95.28$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7719551.3%100 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked XLG Gaming27c95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611754.7%64 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed XLG Gaming17c90.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7716144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed XLG Gaming20c84.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.973333.3%11 W · 22 L-7.1wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed G2 Esports72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.413446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7070…821cbacked XLG Gaming28c79.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6511738.5%45 W · 72 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed G2 Esports73c73.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.977855.1%43 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea69…0a9bbacked XLG Gaming29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.33438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-36.5%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed G2 Esports72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443951.3%20 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xceb1…f700backed G2 Esports74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed G2 Esports72c66.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.546251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x173e…9ff4backed XLG Gaming25c64.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.116535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e42…b805backed G2 Esports73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed G2 Esports72c58.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2466650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked G2 Esports73c56.29$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.25360.4%32 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.