Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc53276f9ce73f639b4bf11b7a86d855b904def4deddacd8428c75efda55274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 2,179$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.29 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed G2 Esports | 47c | 1,469$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.79 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…1f66backed G2 Esports | 52c | 1,220$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked XLG Gaming | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 385$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 361.89$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed G2 Esports | 51c | 348.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed G2 Esports | 52c | 329.53$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.17 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed G2 Esports | 50c | 300.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.25 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…1a38backed G2 Esports | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked G2 Esports | 50c | 222.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed G2 Esports | 52c | 214.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed G2 Esports | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 159.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 149.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed G2 Esports | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked G2 Esports | 52c | 89.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed XLG Gaming | 45c | 86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 57.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked XLG Gaming | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 39.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked G2 Esports | 55c | 23.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0c9abacked G2 Esports | 52c | 19.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CG2 Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.