TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof XLG Gaming, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2526…218ebacked G2 Esports62c9,142$5,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked XLG Gaming1c8,672$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.723432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed XLG Gaming40c5,621$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.974067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked XLG Gaming49c3,972$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.826650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed G2 Esports60c1,969$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.615058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed G2 Esports65c1,616$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.921560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked XLG Gaming68c1,565$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.633644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed XLG Gaming29c1,455$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.7419546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked XLG Gaming39c1,182$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.5550944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed XLG Gaming33c1,117$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.614630.4%14 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed G2 Esports67c1,093$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2454751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed XLG Gaming33c1,045$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3453836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked XLG Gaming35c900$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31521055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Esports67c831.14$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.891,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed XLG Gaming32c749.99$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.793148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked G2 Esports53c729.53$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.411,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked G2 Esports67c719.43$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.412369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked XLG Gaming12c697.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9510628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed XLG Gaming43c653.28$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.916755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked XLG Gaming44c556.45$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.046442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe32a…1f66backed G2 Esports35c537.82$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.011963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked G2 Esports60c494.07$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.634957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked G2 Esports60c489.59$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1368949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3006…780fbacked XLG Gaming56c462.52$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.572347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed G2 Esports67c457.18$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8725453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked XLG Gaming34c452.38$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8978562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed XLG Gaming54c438.11$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1319648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming39c436.82$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4888844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming52c413.61$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.841,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed G2 Esports60c409.98$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8833838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports61c407$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.731,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed G2 Esports65c399.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9953442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked G2 Esports77c391.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.233865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed G2 Esports69c349.19$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6423745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed XLG Gaming35c340$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked G2 Esports39c333.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.334845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Esports76c305.22$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.171,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed XLG Gaming35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked G2 Esports64c299.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.54269%29 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd22…e84abacked G2 Esports65c276.19$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.191275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked G2 Esports65c264.24$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.277744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Esports48c259.97$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.521,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae3f…defebacked G2 Esports79c251.93$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.793174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed G2 Esports21c250$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.560022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed G2 Esports55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.521457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Esports49c246.18$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.341,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked G2 Esports53c203$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8190733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked XLG Gaming33c192.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.440731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked G2 Esports66c190.78$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.781952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked XLG Gaming35c178.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3416347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed G2 Esports68c168.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8110349.5%51 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed G2 Esports47c168$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8399846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed XLG Gaming39c163.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9611445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked G2 Esports68c163.29$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.610846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed G2 Esports69c145.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.163941%16 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed XLG Gaming34c144$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.969551.6%49 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed G2 Esports57c141.54$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2140944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed35…bd18backed XLG Gaming36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked G2 Esports60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3312856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc35b…8dddbacked XLG Gaming54c117.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked XLG Gaming35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011735%41 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed G2 Esports45c112$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3266438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked XLG Gaming33c108.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1955637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed G2 Esports39c102.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8214443.1%62 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3537…3b51backed XLG Gaming34c99.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.998444%37 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb379…0d76backed XLG Gaming24c92.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.33132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked XLG Gaming34c89.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8521153.6%113 W · 98 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming56c89.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.193049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked G2 Esports66c83.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.332828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed G2 Esports68c83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.863542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed XLG Gaming59c80.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4574642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Esports52c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6357151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked G2 Esports49c75.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7842140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked G2 Esports28c71.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.416050%30 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed G2 Esports79c71.34$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.986453.1%34 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed G2 Esports58c69.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed G2 Esports29c69.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.125536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed G2 Esports65c69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.352733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked XLG Gaming77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503262.5%20 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x497e…2dc2backed G2 Esports78c63.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.62875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c0…6fa5backed XLG Gaming50c57.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed XLG Gaming35c57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.955032%16 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked XLG Gaming72c55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7527850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed G2 Esports51c52.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.947254.2%39 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2da…fdd7backed G2 Esports60c51.07$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.431346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming23c50.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.641,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed XLG Gaming36c50.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1646347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b7…3798backed XLG Gaming35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.518952.4%99 W · 90 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed XLG Gaming34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179651%49 W · 47 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d94…cc42backed XLG Gaming33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked XLG Gaming23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.525141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1357…4829backed XLG Gaming22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed G2 Esports54c46.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.497850%39 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked G2 Esports66c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.493844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed G2 Esports68c44.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.283333.3%11 W · 22 L-7.1wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Esports51c44.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5470043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked G2 Esports71c43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.472642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea69…0a9bbacked XLG Gaming73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.23438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-36.5%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked G2 Esports48c36.53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1938548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed G2 Esports68c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2511637.9%44 W · 72 L-15.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.