Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa90df08ed67f7422996858760d1271365f55ed46aa68a755dac6ab48be6ae284
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof XLG Gaming, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked XLG Gaming | 16c | 1,298$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.79 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked XLG Gaming | 12c | 915.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports | 69c | 727.8$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.69 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked XLG Gaming | 14c | 514.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed XLG Gaming | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked XLG Gaming | 33c | 433.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed G2 Esports | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed G2 Esports | 71c | 329.46$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.54 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked XLG Gaming | 7c | 277.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked XLG Gaming | 25c | 250.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed XLG Gaming | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed XLG Gaming | 31c | 207.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed G2 Esports | 72c | 207.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed G2 Esports | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed XLG Gaming | 13c | 181.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed XLG Gaming | 31c | 172.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked XLG Gaming | 30c | 140.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked G2 Esports | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked G2 Esports | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked XLG Gaming | 12c | 89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…85f0backed G2 Esports | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed XLG Gaming | 22c | 49.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked XLG Gaming | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…9907backed G2 Esports | 75c | 44.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed XLG Gaming | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed XLG Gaming | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…d16cbacked G2 Esports | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…b1d4backed G2 Esports | 76c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CG2 Esports won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.