Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00da150e91024a76f80ec2d3e24ec091f800cfaeb3eeb38553cae978e72c5ad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 51c | 547.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.74 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Over | 51c | 511.16$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Over | 51c | 501.07$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.52 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 383.91$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.12 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Under | 49c | 297.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 49c | 295.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.06 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 47c | 256.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 48c | 184.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Over | 51c | 91.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 50c | 89.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 45c | 75.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Over | 52c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Under | 48c | 68.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 55c | 48.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 54c | 44.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 56c | 38.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…7349backed Over | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 49c | 21.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…dcfdbacked Over | 59c | 18.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.