Serie A · resolved market
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb58c245264199aeb507ebff167d07d74584144f643c50f6c9d259f8f1e3fbfa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 26,094$14,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,878.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 45c | 24,936$11,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,714.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 61c | 13,818$8,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,434.43 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 46c | 8,585$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,642.49 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 56c | 5,215$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 4,879$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.57 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 30c | 4,534$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.67 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…3a5bbacked Yes | 52c | 4,132$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 54c | 4,088$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 28c | 3,966$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.99 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Yes | 53c | 3,777$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 13c | 3,758$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.74 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 45c | 3,663$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.79 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c3…3e00backed Yes | 57c | 2,584$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 44c | 2,562$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.66 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes | 55c | 2,537$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 55c | 2,537$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 44c | 2,407$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 2c | 2,384$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 53c | 2,359$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.27 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,155$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.56 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 13c | 1,998$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 27c | 1,912$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 71c | 1,332$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.19 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 47c | 1,276$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.22 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,268$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed No | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 79c | 1,102$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 45c | 987.99$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.5 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 46c | 980.15$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.8 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 54c | 948$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.06 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 43c | 929.17$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.34 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…06cbbacked Yes | 37c | 861.68$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 38c | 839.81$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.54 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 42c | 829.24$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.96 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 57c | 727$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.15 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…5662backed Yes | 58c | 706.9$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 54c | 649.95$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.71 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes | 14c | 600$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 54c | 599.48$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.72 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 42c | 594.38$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.15 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 56c | 543.84$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.86 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 23c | 464.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 43c | 460.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 55c | 454.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 55c | 454.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Yes | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a73…8b3bbacked Yes | 56c | 442.32$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 52c | 420$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.9 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 54c | 401$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.54 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 56c | 392.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 53c | 366.9$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.46 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 62c | 362$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.56 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 46c | 332$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 48c | 316.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 46c | 305.51$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 51c | 290$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 50c | 283$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 48c | 278$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 55c | 263.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes | 56c | 258.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed Yes | 56c | 258.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed Yes | 56c | 258.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…08d7backed Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 43c | 226$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 54c | 221$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 54c | 185.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…d2d8backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 77c | 180$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfebd…5c09backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 38c | 175$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Napoli win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Torino vs. Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will Torino win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.