Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x639f1bc3871c0cdb5d174228af9d712167dac1c4c6153bafc45a77e51210ca72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 71c | 21,092$14,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,196.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 28c | 15,230$4,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.23 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 6,838$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,958.28 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…5915backed Yes | 17c | 2,800$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 25c | 2,266$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.12 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,731$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 10c | 1,674$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.35 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 52c | 1,406$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.25 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 16c | 999.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.72 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 16c | 713.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.07 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 11c | 640$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 65c | 631.98$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.2 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 78c | 559.63$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 43c | 463.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 15c | 352.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 257.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed No | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 33c | 249.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 16c | 213.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.42 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…9599backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 16c | 198.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.84 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 15c | 164.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked No | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 54c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 53c | 144.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…972fbacked Yes | 65c | 137.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d4e0backed No | 55c | 123.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 14c | 106.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 105$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 102.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…b129backed Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 15c | 72.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Yes | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…a597backed Yes | 48c | 52.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…87dcbacked Yes | 70c | 39.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…055ebacked Yes | 38c | 39.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +655.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…5356backed No | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed No | 54c | 18.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Napoli win on 2025-10-18?No won
- Will Torino vs. Napoli end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.