TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2129…4222backed No42c21,448$9,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,009.9319153.9%103 W · 88 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes59c20,473$12,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,437.753438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60011445.6%52 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No44c14,830$6,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,525.21947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes57c5,266$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.745152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c4,048$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.362,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No40c3,829$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.337447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No43c3,724$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.414846.6%69 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes58c3,172$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.728637.2%32 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes58c2,681$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.25347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c1,750$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.833,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No42c1,354$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.3123046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No43c1,330$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.2919347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes77c1,276$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.41944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No43c1,071$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.688752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No44c941.72$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.326451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x621c…ae1bbacked Yes59c854$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes55c818.18$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.1838055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e2…961ebacked No44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1190…936abacked Yes56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb93…63d9backed Yes57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.754231%13 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…85a0backed No43c699.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No43c699.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.999048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No34c678.39$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.593234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes57c597.24$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.813650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes56c546.61$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.511936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3230…9cfcbacked No43c525$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…4332backed Yes57c525$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002650%13 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2154141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778d…166ebacked Yes58c437.02$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No43c367.97$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.234524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No42c349.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.56543.1%28 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9819943.2%86 W · 113 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No23c336.13$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.312540%10 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc272…5256backed Yes77c333$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc775…3141backed Yes58c332$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Yes60c329.45$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.783363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes77c320.94$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.822360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No42c299.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9911036.4%40 W · 70 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes76c260$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.44443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Yes54c222$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1213142%55 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Yes69c217.49$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7101…cf3dbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.445054%27 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414020%8 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No43c170.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.54942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes57c160$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.84535.6%16 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Yes57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.53129%9 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1712…69b5backed Yes77c132.9$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c131$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0433945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes79c126.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.783336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No43c124$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.322356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2951136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x695a…d3d6backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402867.9%19 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No43c98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.143243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27e3…a851backed Yes52c95.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9b…7653backed Yes60c92.38$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722564%16 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x569d…5db5backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf007…0d83backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.214100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74e5…bff4backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8594…9803backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42450%12 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3711250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No43c78.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9634342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes62c70.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.971560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.81662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes58c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.314157.4%81 W · 60 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1761…502abacked Yes57c59.19$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No43c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Yes58c53.45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.451275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd162…5393backed Yes77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.555058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes60c46.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.674376.7%33 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+20.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8545…da3bbacked Yes58c44.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.831275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6cc…18cebacked Yes57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe02…409abacked Yes57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5cf…c348backed Yes57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e6…0dfabacked Yes58c39.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.391770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac5…28d4backed Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+80.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3f…4f9cbacked Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes59c35.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.593455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb91…f766backed Yes57c35.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.322060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53da…7603backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ba…dcfdbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed Yes57c33.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.441435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.