Champions League · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd441bd6fbe29196d13db20819e0c5d62e05a82620e58e080c835e221fdb8e249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 78,617$22,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,038.68 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Yes | 74c | 60,000$44,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,122.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 30c | 50,900$15,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,629.99 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Yes | 70c | 44,120$30,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,884.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 74c | 34,029$25,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,174.52 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 75c | 33,500$25,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,120.7 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 27c | 31,286$8,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,823.26 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 26c | 25,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,499.77 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 72c | 24,760$17,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,939.4 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,800 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 27c | 17,616$4,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,872.52 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 27c | 15,601$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,444.76 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 74c | 13,264$9,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,815.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 24c | 11,053$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400.12 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 28c | 10,688$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680.44 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 27c | 10,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,279.93 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 26c | 8,408$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,221.68 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 28c | 7,656$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.26 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 29c | 7,066$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,016.86 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 24c | 7,019$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,314.13 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 71c | 6,685$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.75 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 35c | 4,867$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.01 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 28c | 4,405$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.5 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…f76abacked No | 76c | 4,099$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 74c | 3,865$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.19 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 26c | 3,600$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…e042backed Yes | 44c | 3,600$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 72c | 3,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 75c | 3,380$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.85 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 27c | 3,328$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.74 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 25c | 3,281$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.95 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.97 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked Yes | 78c | 2,798$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 34c | 2,793$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.72 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 72c | 2,699$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.07 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,452$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 2,406$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.85 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 65c | 2,300$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 26c | 2,207$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 2,030$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.03 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…96f7backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…39c0backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 34c | 1,944$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.54 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 73c | 1,928$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 28c | 1,800$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 32c | 1,783$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.29 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…0551backed Yes | 76c | 1,711$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 37c | 1,673$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.82 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,585$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f2a5backed Yes | 76c | 1,579$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.52 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Yes | 72c | 1,490$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…6a34backed Yes | 69c | 1,451$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 27c | 1,409$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 35cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.07 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…31c0backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 66c | 1,358$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.52 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 63c | 1,357$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 76c | 1,319$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…9e72backed Yes | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Yes | 38c | 1,115$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 73c | 1,094$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 1,038$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.75 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac14backed Yes | 40c | 1,003$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 42c | 1,003$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.38 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.45 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…2807backed No | 28c | 999.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.93 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked Yes | 75c | 881.23$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 68c | 736$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.48 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Yes | 74c | 680$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 26c | 677$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.98 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed No | 69c | 674.92$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes | 75c | 665.44$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 73c | 640.67$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.31 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 77c | 638.4$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 3c | 610.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Yes | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed No | 25c | 599.96$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 71c | 590.07$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.15 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 75c | 570$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 72c | 555$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 74c | 550$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 12c | 536.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 74c | 501.11$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed No | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 26c | 500$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will Páfos FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.