TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$426,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$450,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ef9…f171backed No41c215,685$87,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,436.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes63c83,179$52,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,874.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes61c43,514$26,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,178.242,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No39c40,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,60035941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd379…87a8backed No41c38,299$15,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,702.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes59c34,773$20,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,113.482,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes60c25,364$15,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,220.6828242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc9…b3b4backed Yes59c19,792$11,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,114.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a8…7200backed Yes59c18,301$10,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,503.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes57c10,604$6,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,517.5485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes63c10,476$6,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,893.114,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Yes61c9,965$6,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,886.356550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes60c9,387$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,786.691,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes61c8,000$4,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1101,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes60c5,258$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.831,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No40c4,666$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.372665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No32c4,093$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.365044%22 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.994862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a35…5e52backed Yes59c2,544$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.27944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+111.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No30c2,088$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.1817327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes56c1,954$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.691136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick18cpaid+224.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4083…2b3dbacked Yes61c1,906$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.98757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No41c1,662$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.4213662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes63c1,585$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.798259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No41c1,547$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.2633057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes61c1,292$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.5149254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No40c1,254$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.6119154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb20…d0bdbacked Yes60c1,004$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No40c887.36$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.081,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0711443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4615757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed No8c800$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.22166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-87.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes57c784.43$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.18155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Yes57c774.29$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.613956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes59c729.86$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.081,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28710960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes60c613.35$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.333243.8%14 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcff6…09bdbacked Yes64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162055%11 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes57c569.98$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0910426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd22…e478backed Yes60c568.11$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.111050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed No44c500.32$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006350.8%32 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes62c491.8$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.165160.8%31 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Yes69c487.44$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.342055%11 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x623f…395ebacked Yes58c422.97$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.653138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No41c403.39$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3936956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes65c370$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.264548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes58c345.24$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8911232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes59c337.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4825057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.465831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes78c300.51$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9253344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes71c247$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6916548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No35c244.06$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9345142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcd…3c55backed Yes74c243.12$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2912143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x195f…3442backed No40c225.76$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+123.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No42c219.04$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked No41c204.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829157.1%52 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409753.6%52 W · 45 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787047.1%33 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No41c199.75$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.919145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Yes61c180.58$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5810058%58 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No41c176.85$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5159958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes57c175.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.619654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ba…e6b7backed Yes58c171.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.653259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes58c171.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.396749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Yes59c170.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.827143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.723531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4917634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5d1…c8cebacked Yes59c168.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.231643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes59c167.69$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.755446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf39…0e83backed Yes60c166.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.922466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes60c166.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.922665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No41c164.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x432b…0806backed Yes64c157.17$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2a…2760backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes74c153.01$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.511,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No38c152.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.551,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes59c151.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.199840.8%40 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5711850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.515461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes80c149.4$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8822040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No42c147$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7439948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Yes58c143.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.45149%25 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5913256.1%74 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes59c126.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9222832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes62c125.74$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.611741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2a…72f1backed Yes59c125.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.421450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x436e…9a0abacked No42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No42c119$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9812139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Yes69c114.16$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.485955.9%33 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Yes57c114.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.041662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3747…41bebacked Yes58c111.07$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.652638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes63c100.41$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2642324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.