Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f1e2dda13014315208aacd7bf0accf02dd3678803ccb81213b1aecd659c47f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 25c | 1,250$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.3 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 76c | 1,132$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.84 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 1,060$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.35 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 24c | 583.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 25c | 345.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 9c | 335.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 9c | 211.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 199.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Yes | 25c | 197.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 76c | 65.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 26c | 59.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 75c | 41.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 30.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…9978backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 75c | 25.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 76c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.