TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x195f…3442

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$83.16
Grambling State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$153.41
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26.15
Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.44
NJIT Highlanders vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+94.7%+$78.76
UMBC Retrievers vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$34
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.2%+$15.17
Hampton Pirates vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+156.4%+$547.36
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-9.5)backed Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-1.5)backed Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+98.4%+$24.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150.69
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$80.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$41.05
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+164.4%+$266.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$36.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+73.3%+$43.62
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+46.3%+$67.26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+80%+$26.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-69.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+123.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$119.49
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$110.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$374.45
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+141.3%+$368.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+27.8%+$88.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+102.7%+$30.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$35.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,516Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$516.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$117.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.