TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UMBC Retrievers vs. New Hampshire Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UMBC Retrieversof UMBC Retrievers, New Hampshire Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked New Hampshire Wildcats41c7,217$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.125,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UMBC Retrievers62c7,177$4,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.091,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed UMBC Retrievers60c5,257$3,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.0937947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed UMBC Retrievers60c3,329$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.461838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-37.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Hampshire Wildcats41c3,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2402,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UMBC Retrievers64c1,595$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.653,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed UMBC Retrievers76c1,255$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.531,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked New Hampshire Wildcats24c1,222$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.741,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed UMBC Retrievers71c1,033$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked New Hampshire Wildcats41c1,004$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.2681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked UMBC Retrievers63c999.98$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.99333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed New Hampshire Wildcats43c900$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38756444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked New Hampshire Wildcats36c863.62$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.715748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UMBC Retrievers59c848.42$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.121,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed New Hampshire Wildcats37c830.15$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.893844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…1c82backed New Hampshire Wildcats37c819.54$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.231181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.39per pick43cpaid+84.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked New Hampshire Wildcats23c814.48$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18527450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked New Hampshire Wildcats40c729.08$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2230249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UMBC Retrievers77c654.59$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.273,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked UMBC Retrievers63c630$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.137142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed New Hampshire Wildcats42c567$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.141526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked New Hampshire Wildcats39c548$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7275447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked New Hampshire Wildcats36c510.5$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UMBC Retrievers71c510.31$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.832,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed New Hampshire Wildcats26c488.58$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8944146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed New Hampshire Wildcats38c444$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7225946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked New Hampshire Wildcats40c380.88$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed New Hampshire Wildcats41c376.4$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.42,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed UMBC Retrievers61c374.22$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4143053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked New Hampshire Wildcats37c363$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3112846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked New Hampshire Wildcats12c361.1$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.249345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked New Hampshire Wildcats38c355$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c74…00bcbacked New Hampshire Wildcats37c346.75$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked UMBC Retrievers56c338.3$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1637441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed New Hampshire Wildcats39c325.52$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked New Hampshire Wildcats38c300$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2493941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked New Hampshire Wildcats38c270$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.613743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…a506backed New Hampshire Wildcats37c261.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.551752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed New Hampshire Wildcats42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10521050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked New Hampshire Wildcats40c225$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked UMBC Retrievers67c200.35$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9787047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…583abacked New Hampshire Wildcats40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked New Hampshire Wildcats38c199.68$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.552,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed New Hampshire Wildcats42c170.95$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc22c…9c02backed New Hampshire Wildcats37c145.71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.911957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New Hampshire Wildcats37c126.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.24,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked New Hampshire Wildcats40c125.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New Hampshire Wildcats28c120.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.341,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed New Hampshire Wildcats38c114.21$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.48555.3%47 W · 38 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed New Hampshire Wildcats40c112.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4549849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UMBC Retrievers75c109.27$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.792,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UMBC Retrievers65c106.27$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.012,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked UMBC Retrievers79c101$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4661446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked New Hampshire Wildcats38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked UMBC Retrievers63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3729444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed UMBC Retrievers60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4036942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed New Hampshire Wildcats41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.84450%22 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x195f…3442backed New Hampshire Wildcats43c79.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed New Hampshire Wildcats38c65.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed New Hampshire Wildcats34c62.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3620248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed UMBC Retrievers59c62.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.712373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed New Hampshire Wildcats40c61.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7321651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked UMBC Retrievers62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95263.5%33 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed New Hampshire Wildcats29c59.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.191,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked UMBC Retrievers59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8539050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed UMBC Retrievers75c50.77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7723363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed UMBC Retrievers62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1927358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed New Hampshire Wildcats26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed UMBC Retrievers60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed UMBC Retrievers63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.521449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked New Hampshire Wildcats40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked New Hampshire Wildcats33c44.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7722730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3113…223ebacked New Hampshire Wildcats37c43.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UMBC Retrievers74c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.881,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed New Hampshire Wildcats39c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4825152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ff…b4d0backed UMBC Retrievers64c30.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde59…451fbacked UMBC Retrievers59c29.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.291216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-72%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked New Hampshire Wildcats41c26.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9420834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaba0…2aa5backed UMBC Retrievers59c23.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e0…be18backed UMBC Retrievers61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.88664%55 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed UMBC Retrievers72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.65453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked UMBC Retrievers60c18.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.334866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked UMBC Retrievers80c15.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1814171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.