CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f13694bfa0f974512b722b849e7399c51179eaa2d9a3f680eebbc761f14bc7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $429,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $635,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 50c | 197,505$98,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,752.31 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 1c | 3,728$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 44c | 2,883$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.84 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 56c | 2,472$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.72 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…f7abbacked Under | 50c | 2,025$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Under | 1c | 1,780$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 44c | 836.96$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.45 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Under | 60c | 661.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 45c | 655.5$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.95 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 39c | 596.46$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.23 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 51c | 550.77$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.64 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 43c | 514.11$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.28 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 60c | 501.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 48c | 485.3$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.66 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Over | 62c | 304.41$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Under | 53c | 211.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 59c | 202.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 54c | 197.79$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 69c | 145.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 55c | 140.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Under | 62c | 135.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 126.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed Over | 31c | 118.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 23c | 109.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Over | 31c | 108.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 57c | 101.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Under | 53c | 93.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 47c | 90.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…f498backed Over | 55c | 85.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 46c | 83.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Over | 45c | 80.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 34c | 72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Over | 54c | 54.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…f776backed Over | 29c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 30c | 50.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7325…0574backed Over | 44c | 45.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…4ad6backed Over | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 51c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…3442backed Under | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…ea6fbacked Under | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 24.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Over | 50c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…5822backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…5981backed Under | 73c | 15.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StagePARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)FaZe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.