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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof Central Connecticut State Blue Devils, Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils52c35,324$18,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,064.4889645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights49c17,194$8,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,367.4874051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights49c11,701$5,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,678.5237947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils52c9,351$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.591,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils53c8,649$4,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,067.781,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils78c3,740$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.111,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights33c2,516$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.214,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils75c2,391$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.031,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights39c2,362$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.365349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights29c1,472$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.711,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils60c1,277$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.053,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils54c1,267$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.945,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights49c1,091$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.582,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils63c985.55$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.1714354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights30c951.54$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.934,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights50c879.99$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.7925946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights46c799.98$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9993941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils77c770$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5325246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights19c671.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4425337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils53c667.16$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.7137142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights26c562$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.773,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights45c512.68$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils52c511.26$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils54c435$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.11,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights47c395.96$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0330249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights46c394.28$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5299045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils64c394$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14214643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights38c316.1$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights48c307.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8413743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights28c307.48$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.092,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils71c300.18$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.52,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils51c276$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2421646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights48c275$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils71c267.16$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.661,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils77c258$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0422157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils53c250$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11814151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.521050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils52c236$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.118147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights47c214.77$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5931647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils52c185.29$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.836845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x195f…3442backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils51c161.95$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.761540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils71c142.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.121457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6640849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205832.8%19 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8445953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec3…4db1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils65c115.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.411963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights43c110$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.337441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights49c104.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.042,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights48c104.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights48c104.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc1…a1e6backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils73c102.9$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2142934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights36c98.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights27c97.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils73c82.85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.221,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils80c72$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils53c70.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0218844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fc…314dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights28c70.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.795947.5%28 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0239050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights30c48.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.781,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights32c45.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.371,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils62c40.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.521,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ee6…8a9dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils52c35.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.351,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f34…94d0backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7211654.3%63 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc9…63b2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb25f…32c9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.266952.2%36 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights42c31.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5220248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights45c29.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2912748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3207…86d9backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ec…f645backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6be…43c9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils72c20.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.823100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils65c20.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0914171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…ce8abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x974a…615cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.742133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe68f…4ea0backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.