Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48695f9dba231f6edb9eebc8bb3663bed673cb5beeaadad6fd68ad138dc7d564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof Central Connecticut State Blue Devils, Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 48c | 1,111$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 51c | 724.21$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.01 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 53c | 604$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.12 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 47c | 442.64$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 53c | 349.28$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 47c | 159.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 113.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 49c | 57.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-1.5)this page
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Fairleigh Dickinson KnightsCentral Connecticut State Blue Devils won
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-1.5)Central Connecticut State Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.