Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e3172de4bd3d92e413e477ad979ed8cc6de85246faff12dbc3c447f8fb68c9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manhattan Jaspersof Manhattan Jaspers, Niagara Purple Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 47c | 42,553$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Manhattan Jaspers | 53c | 37,003$19,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,391.39 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 53c | 5,300$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Manhattan Jaspers | 47c | 390$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Manhattan Jaspers | 53c | 114.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…3442backed Manhattan Jaspers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 48c | 45.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Manhattan Jaspers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Manhattan Jaspers | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…c23dbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 56c | 35.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 25.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-1.5)this page
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple EaglesManhattan Jaspers won
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 136.5Over won
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Niagara Purple Eagles (-1.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
- Spread: Niagara Purple Eagles (-2.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.