Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 137.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x223066be255dd1b153b238ee0510c5af596687379aab5ea2a0f8087642c7444c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 51c | 10,700$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 49c | 9,069$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,443.81 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 55c | 5,419$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.71 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 3,014$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.15 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 28c | 2,343$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.88 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,477$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…901ebacked Over | 55c | 1,138$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 45c | 1,067$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.31 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Over | 59c | 1,038$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 50c | 902.4$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.58 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 11c | 850$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 42c | 602.43$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.97 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 64c | 309.47$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 47c | 300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 51c | 282.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 50c | 225.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…7af7backed Under | 71c | 152.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…5e13backed Over | 77c | 118.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 110.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…92bbbacked Under | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…2e8cbacked Over | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…b89bbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0d…49fabacked Under | 49c | 90.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 87.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Over | 48c | 87.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…254dbacked Under | 65c | 43.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 37.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b01…1f7abacked Under | 36c | 35.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…b2b6backed Under | 52c | 34.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…1cd6backed Under | 53c | 24.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 53c | 23.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Under | 54c | 22.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 137.5this page
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple EaglesManhattan Jaspers won
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 136.5Over won
- Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-1.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
- Spread: Niagara Purple Eagles (-1.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
- Spread: Niagara Purple Eagles (-2.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.