Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84bf4456e8d879e3295c04cba0c4bd77fc464ac83e487937698417cf9e0ca945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 50c | 31,716$15,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,857.87 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 9,994$4,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 9,989$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 51c | 4,400$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 50c | 3,134$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.08 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 51c | 971.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.27 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 930$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 813.73$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.73 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…37f3backed Under | 57c | 766.99$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 43c | 601.12$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.64 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Over | 51c | 376.07$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 51c | 333.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Under | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 270.14$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.09 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 43c | 143.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 50c | 111.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Under | 49c | 98.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed Under | 49c | 98.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Under | 51c | 98.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…1da8backed Under | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 91.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Under | 49c | 90.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2514backed Under | 49c | 90.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 73.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 50c | 69.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 47.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 51c | 39.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 37.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…901ebacked Over | 70c | 36.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Over | 56c | 35.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 50c | 27.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 50c | 23.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…0e32backed Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 136.5this page
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple EaglesManhattan Jaspers won
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-1.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
- Spread: Niagara Purple Eagles (-1.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
- Spread: Niagara Purple Eagles (-2.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.