Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Niagara Purple Eagles (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75a7986e547e33ba4c236d9cdab662a30923f09477d91f7f2d554118f78d6ac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manhattan Jaspersof Niagara Purple Eagles, Manhattan Jaspers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Manhattan Jaspers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 45c | 2,720$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.96 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Manhattan Jaspers | 60c | 834.85$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.94 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 45c | 824$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.8 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 43c | 511$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.73 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 44c | 368.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 43c | 315.49$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 46c | 295.52$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 48c | 205.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 36c | 111.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Manhattan Jaspers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 45c | 93.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 45c | 87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 45c | 62.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Manhattan Jaspers | 55c | 54.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 60c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Niagara Purple Eagles (-2.5)this page
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple EaglesManhattan Jaspers won
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 136.5Over won
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-1.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
- Spread: Niagara Purple Eagles (-1.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.