NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72e7d076334055c34ff807c219a363df0e3bfeacd8b8abed16d568daaaaa4312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $816,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $851,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $816,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flames | 11c | 374,703$40,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,452.33 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Stars | 79c | 189,340$150,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,103.26 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flames | 45c | 172,070$77,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,210.95 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Stars | 55c | 106,783$58,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,451.92 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Flames | 45c | 33,493$14,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,993.32 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Flames | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Flames | 45c | 11,288$5,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 56c | 11,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Flames | 1c | 10,114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 309 | 51.1%158 W · 151 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 44c | 9,791$4,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,332.32 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 56c | 9,197$5,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.04 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Stars | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Stars | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…776cbacked Stars | 54c | 8,671$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.63 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stars | 55c | 7,731$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.25 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Flames | 21c | 6,798$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.33 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Flames | 0c | 6,159$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stars | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Flames | 44c | 5,798$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.01 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Stars | 56c | 5,497$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.59 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Stars | 61c | 5,486$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.98 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Stars | 56c | 5,400$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Stars | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Stars | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Flames | 45c | 4,889$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Stars | 64c | 4,709$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.36 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Flames | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…9dc1backed Flames | 0c | 3,337$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Flames | 44c | 3,326$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.44 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Stars | 56c | 3,119$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.05 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Stars | 55c | 3,059$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.35 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Stars | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.84 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Stars | 56c | 2,919$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.98 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599e…9ca2backed Flames | 46c | 2,763$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Stars | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Flames | 30c | 2,633$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.6 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 71c | 2,620$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.23 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames | 44c | 2,600$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.77 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 71c | 2,571$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.65 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…c386backed Stars | 55c | 2,357$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Stars | 55c | 2,204$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.8 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Stars | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Stars | 63c | 1,989$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.93 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Stars | 56c | 1,979$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.57 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…de36backed Stars | 56c | 1,964$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flames | 44c | 1,932$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Stars | 55c | 1,748$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.79 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Flames | 45c | 1,650$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flames | 44c | 1,596$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.41 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Stars | 78c | 1,592$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.06 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Stars | 55c | 1,560$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 29c | 1,442$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.81 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Stars | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Stars | 55c | 1,379$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.59 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Flames | 1c | 1,357$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Flames | 36c | 1,352$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.71 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…7721backed Flames | 2c | 1,342$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Flames | 45c | 1,322$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Stars | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 44c | 1,292$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 40c | 1,281$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.56 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Flames | 44c | 1,263$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.28 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Stars | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed Flames | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 23c | 1,008$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.62 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Stars | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Flames | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Flames | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Flames | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Stars | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Stars | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Flames | 29c | 866.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Flames | 46c | 848$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.08 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Flames | 45c | 796.01$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.75 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Stars | 56c | 792.86$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.86 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Stars | 55c | 776.98$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.97 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Stars | 67c | 775.73$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Flames | 44c | 773.23$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.22 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Stars | 54c | 699.84$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.93 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Flames | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 38c | 668.08$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.91 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Stars | 59c | 660.63$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Stars | 56c | 607.41$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.26 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Stars | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Flames | 44c | 568.15$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.67 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Flames | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Stars | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 44c | 543.08$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.95 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…4b91backed Stars | 55c | 542.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.21 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Stars | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ec…4c7fbacked Stars | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Stars | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 177 | 54.2%96 W · 81 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Stars | 55c | 499.9$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Flames | 44c | 497.71$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Flamesthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Stars vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Over won
- Stars vs. Flames: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.