Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9663e76d963f3b7b46395f70680af12183bd04bff1cbbf88b7beefc65cef78ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH) RedHawksof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Ohio Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Ohio Bobcats | 53c | 9,585$5,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,091.37 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 6,245$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 1,259$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Ohio Bobcats | 54c | 1,242$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.48 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Ohio Bobcats | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 65c | 508.46$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Ohio Bobcats | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 481.12$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.62 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 55c | 456.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.08 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 291.04$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 47c | 281.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.39 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Ohio Bobcats | 56c | 241.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.23 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 204.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…3442backed Ohio Bobcats | 69c | 108.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…8975backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 53.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Ohio Bobcats | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Ohio Bobcats | 53c | 50.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ohio Bobcats | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 43c | 34.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-9.5)this page
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 163.5Over won
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-10.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-8.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.