Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fab31bdc87c38d373690dd5544207cf330dae0bfe677dbd8e2de58bc4caa1c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH) RedHawksof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Ohio Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio Bobcats | 52c | 1,185$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 783$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.5 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 209.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 201.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed Ohio Bobcats | 60c | 176.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ohio Bobcats | 21c | 139.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Ohio Bobcats | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 70c | 97.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ohio Bobcats | 49c | 64.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 40c | 61.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 40c | 58.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…0795backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 40c | 56.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ohio Bobcats | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 54.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Ohio Bobcats | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Ohio Bobcats | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ohio Bobcats | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Ohio Bobcats | 62c | 33.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Ohio Bobcats | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Ohio Bobcats | 56c | 30.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-10.5)this page
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 163.5Over won
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-8.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-9.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.