TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Under52c17,922$9,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,676.1974051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c16,255$7,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,867.8512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41048855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over47c2,050$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.574152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c1,368$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.65,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over47c1,036$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.1384147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over47c504.26$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23715748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9101…78ddbacked Over39c399.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+170.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9140…17e0backed Under53c391.2$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over49c268$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.684,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over70c221.02$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5931647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c1…9511backed Under70c213.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.121346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0816253.1%86 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over50c188$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under61c178.92$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7815356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over35c165.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2834952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5079…0f50backed Under53c149.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.49475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Over27c132$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.724942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ce…dd2ebacked Over47c100.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.441428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf833…9e29backed Over47c98.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb72…2514backed Over47c98.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.45850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b9…9ab5backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.044850%24 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over49c92.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3434343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x820e…9db7backed Over47c92.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under51c91.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e7…f753backed Under76c82.44$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over50c56.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.091,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5639050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe616…ef15backed Under61c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9821850.9%111 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.35,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Under53c48.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.822951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Over61c43.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.47247.2%34 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under46c32.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4213350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.371655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Under53c24.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6713561.5%83 W · 52 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c4a…4fb5backed Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127459.5%44 W · 30 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x732e…0b35backed Over49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.291346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Over59c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0613845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.