Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbf8522c6b1559641705e8315b3087c1da1913b93d4b182253ad73a20071064e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH) RedHawksof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Ohio Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 53c | 106,142$56,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,826.99 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ohio Bobcats | 47c | 97,856$45,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,992.28 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Ohio Bobcats | 47c | 3,261$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.77 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio Bobcats | 47c | 2,188$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Ohio Bobcats | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Ohio Bobcats | 28c | 800$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Ohio Bobcats | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio Bobcats | 48c | 110.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Ohio Bobcats | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Ohio Bobcats | 50c | 97.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 75c | 72.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…c23dbacked Ohio Bobcats | 80c | 57.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 20c | 57.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…e608backed Ohio Bobcats | 58c | 43.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Ohio Bobcats | 47c | 35.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-7.5)this page
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 163.5Over won
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-10.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-8.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-9.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.