MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef036142f9e08fe2fb8ecc528088ec5b9617bc5a29f30da2b4d7648a09502feb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 143,155$63,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,586.49 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 53,079$29,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,238.44 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,000 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 18,255$11,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,305.38 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 14,604$8,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,178.24 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 13,654$10,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,068.46 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 10,993$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,096.8 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 9,987$5,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,592.63 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 8,693$4,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,868 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 8,276$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,944.71 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 8,240$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.64 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 6,563$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,013.14 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 6,358$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.04 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Miami Marlins | 79c | 6,020$4,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.38 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 5,360$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.3 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 4,832$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.92 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 4,137$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.91 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 3,685$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 3,418$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.4 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,556$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.43 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 2,505$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 2,313$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.87 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,300$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,250$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,225$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.21 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,200$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…795bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 2,179$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +441.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,093$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.45 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 2,004$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.67 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,915$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.88 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 1,775$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.36 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,444$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.45 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,385$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.84 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 1,304$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.88 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.99 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,198$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.97 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,189$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.28 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,124$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.77 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 1,107$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.71 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 1,087$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.26 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,060$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.04 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,025$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,022$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.15 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 987.45$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.59 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 987.05$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.98 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 985.22$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.21 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 941.06$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.58 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 926.59$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.22 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 872.55$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.61 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 870.48$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.34 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 840.24$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.86 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…ce05backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 830.37$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cincinnati Reds | 5c | 754.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.33 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 715.19$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.63 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 663.3$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 653.48$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.89 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 639.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.78 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 637.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.87 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 619.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.22 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 610.04$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.29 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 594.47$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.49 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 579.39$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 564.38$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 540.81$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.85 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 514.12$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.91 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 502.2$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.43 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 494.2$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.26 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 491$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.19 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 489.07$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.36 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 466.85$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…b0f0backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 464.79$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 463.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.65 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 458.47$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.97 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 444.94$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…b2aebacked Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 430.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 409.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.68 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 386.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 386.02$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.01 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 376.36$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 357.11$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 333.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.31 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 330.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.15 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 327.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.07 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 303$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 302.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 300$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 296.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.37 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 289.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…fcedbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 281.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…d2d1backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 275.37$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 268.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 263.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.