TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over54c13,502$7,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,334.421850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c8,263$3,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,318.551,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under49c4,629$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.041631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c2,530$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.991,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c2,461$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.4362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under50c1,991$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c1,547$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.1287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under49c1,253$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.06933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c980.38$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under50c972.87$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.448444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under49c818.09$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.232548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over53c599.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-84.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c505.17$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over16c417.15$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7926346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over49c389.19$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.717043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over51c376.47$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over53c375.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over51c299.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.495060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c4…a00fbacked Under49c267.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over39c256.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under57c240.64$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over34c220$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+65.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over40c187.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over44c159.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over30c151.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over51c149.6$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8435037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under49c134.69$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.692326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over20c112$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.78540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over51c105.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4422340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5124051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over47c99.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.911250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0a…a693backed Over52c96.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c90.68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9859348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over50c81.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9314057.1%80 W · 60 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Under52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aac…4e55backed Over46c71.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over27c69.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.95435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under48c65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.553351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under62c64.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.412962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Under80c64.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282a…2866backed Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf876…8975backed Over50c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c47.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2312448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over51c46.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.773354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under49c44.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over31c44.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.564934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x195f…3442backed Under52c42.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.314100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over47c42.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Under67c41.95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick39cpaid+116.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c41.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.213144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over51c40.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.033161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under49c40.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.542445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.49246.7%43 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.86762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over33c39.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21822.2%4 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c39.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c37.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.719159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfe1…3b9ebacked Under67c35.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf1…23c6backed Over50c30.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.071526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154035%14 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over38c27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.262839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over51c20.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.436352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafc2…700bbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.