Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfa9d24c68b6bc26e09503af69966cbf58ae7feb0373b96d742012551898257c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 6c | 3,312$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.42 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 3,140$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.66 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…9908backed Yes | 51c | 1,155$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 51c | 875.08$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 676.42$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.93 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 60c | 417.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.17 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Yes | 26c | 381.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…25c3backed Yes | 33c | 305.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed No | 50c | 178.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 130.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 51c | 106.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 52c | 75.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 51c | 69.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 53.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 51c | 40.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 49c | 39.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 51c | 38.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 37c | 35.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 55c | 32.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked No | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 50c | 30.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 69c | 29.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.