Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x477faf1487c868146b5033671fa6b9db0bfcaf41c418468dc99f14ab45a2d230
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 64c | 6,328$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 6,097$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.19 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 3,910$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.52 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,507$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.95 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 48c | 1,034$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 999.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 62c | 821.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.21 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 682.35$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.56 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 64c | 490.57$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.57 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 67c | 301.52$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 298.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 53c | 284.3$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 7c | 265.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Over | 77c | 202.6$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 75c | 179.22$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 164.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 23c | 159.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 71c | 106.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 49c | 90.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 24c | 86.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 84.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 40c | 83.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Over | 70c | 71.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 51c | 68.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 55c | 67.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 62c | 58.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 46.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 44c | 38.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 76c | 32.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 35c | 31.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa62…4dccbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…f9e8backed Over | 59c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.