TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,003,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,019,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,003,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf208…fa74backed Over48c600,692$290,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310,000.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c208,592$106,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,862.412,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under52c166,904$86,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,430.889350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…bf16backed Over46c160,901$73,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,960.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c79,430$40,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,825.4593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under54c78,966$42,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,641.612748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under20c52,873$10,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,564.741233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c45,000$23,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,15016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under55c24,620$13,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,540.998354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dee…d3eebacked Under54c23,925$12,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,919.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3264…0a6cbacked Over46c23,287$10,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,574.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over48c18,849$9,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,801.363951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under52c16,634$8,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,649.684553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c16,486$8,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,708.6798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c15,221$7,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,493.781,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under52c12,256$6,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,373.1250%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under52c10,538$5,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4804445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under54c10,000$5,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3803357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under51c9,964$5,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,081.712250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under51c8,147$4,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,155.082475%18 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1601338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under52c7,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.999952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over45c5,237$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6005653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5503636.1%13 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+163.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7501266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+49.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…b901backed Under54c4,844$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,61610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0401471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over49c3,521$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.715052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under23c3,065$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7202755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under53c2,958$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.151855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over71c2,834$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.942290.9%20 W · 2 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+39.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under51c2,404$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.045424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3c4…a00fbacked Under54c2,222$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under52c2,101$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.331533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1005530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under53c1,969$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.344748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.119652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Over45c1,770$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.384100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over75c1,600$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c1,331$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.6812049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c1,199$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.4722348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over49c1,189$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.839054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over57c1,055$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.371752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over48c1,055$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.419046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under51c1,005$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.343271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd9f…5a30backed Over49c902.86$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over59c845.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under28c844.41$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Under54c784.52$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under51c735.14$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over80c687.5$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.54271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd009…a1adbacked Over46c670.44$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2421650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over76c592.11$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b2…ffcabacked Under52c578$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under33c570.3$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7728931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over49c557.14$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.145945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under5c520.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.01175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked Over49c450.61$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.81650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over57c446.16$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.022050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x717f…1501backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under51c415.41$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0724955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Over77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over56c399.91$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.964866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over46c399.9$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over46c386.75$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.696043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Under56c357.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c356.53$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6084backed Over73c343.84$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over79c330$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.33056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.873863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Under55c305$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.12740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13815042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301926.3%5 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick9cpaid+454.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under53c299.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under10c299.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+275%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under54c298.86$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.41540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Over47c288.43$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.871154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over49c285.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.668744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over48c285.42$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.421050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Under18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under52c260.75$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.591338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c250.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over50c250.68$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.344845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over42c250.2$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.61776.5%13 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.35per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under53c233.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.933860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Under53c223.11$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.253426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Under53c223.11$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.253828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7cf…2302backed Over47c217.21$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.121947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.