Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48109fb157bb1ff53d22d8ebdea3ed5d3542ada936a02f637862313af78cee7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 5,414$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.22 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 74c | 2,048$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.82 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 26c | 1,469$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.9 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Over | 74c | 1,216$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 76c | 1,125$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 1,058$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…db57backed Over | 75c | 967.2$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over | 70c | 905.71$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.71 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Over | 73c | 550$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 73c | 506$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 501.51$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 25c | 458.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 73c | 456.37$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 74c | 434.25$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 73c | 417.18$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 404.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 27c | 375.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 26c | 300.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 75c | 254.67$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 215.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 72c | 181.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…9b6bbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Over | 75c | 135.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 26c | 117.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…4e55backed Over | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…08bcbacked Under | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…a64fbacked Over | 72c | 73.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Over | 73c | 71.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…ee49backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 28c | 69.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…9c55backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…799dbacked Over | 73c | 52.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 70c | 51.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over | 74c | 44.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 25c | 44.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…529cbacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…3c09backed Over | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…2646backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…ed92backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…7309backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…41eebacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a6…2d17backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…9846backed Over | 75c | 26.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8a…f9bdbacked Over | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed Over | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a98…0fc0backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…3fd0backed Over | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 73c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.