Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcc2f32e7c5eb92b3dc8a726c823963453b7eaa8b893fa2d9d3556c198cb4e6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 945.23$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.18 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 29c | 520.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.46 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 39c | 513.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.94 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed Under | 10c | 499.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 71c | 454.03$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.75 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 421.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.95 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 64c | 408.68$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 15c | 339.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.93 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +380%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 13c | 253.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.85 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 15c | 229.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 17c | 197.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 72c | 187.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Over | 28c | 135.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 34c | 116.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 36c | 100.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…8417backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242d…734ebacked Under | 80c | 97.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 72c | 93.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 31c | 87.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…472bbacked Under | 73c | 65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 34c | 59.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 40c | 50.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Under | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 34.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Over | 35c | 31.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6390…873ebacked Under | 79c | 28.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.