TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under54c98,892$53,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,135.65349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c40,106$18,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,656.9793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c34,867$15,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,006.072,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over47c30,000$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,9002552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over46c22,021$10,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,897.8222348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.994757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under55c9,436$5,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,189.84445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under54c9,084$4,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,905.199952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under54c7,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7805550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over45c3,520$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9362161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over46c2,774$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.1398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9912657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under68c1,757$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over15c1,665$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.254247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c1,657$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.091,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over46c1,563$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.763638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7957255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over46c1,363$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.062748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under2c1,300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+126%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under55c1,001$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.0820544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over44c904.89$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.741855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over48c700.4$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over61c690$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.13357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under42c661.38$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over45c612.4$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.827560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.489054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over45c499.97$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.987558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over32c446.88$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.885242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Over60c430$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1722245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c374.12$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+275%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under9c299.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271926.3%5 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick9cpaid+454.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7319353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b2…c0dbbacked Over46c271.74$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.416043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over45c222.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2233144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over46c216$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6425556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under9c201.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c200.02$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under40c197.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Under51c195.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004932.7%16 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe50…b05cbacked Under54c189.95$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.57450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over46c184$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3616851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under55c183.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.932948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over31c167.74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7413142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2914231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over37c149.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5728931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over34c147$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.021978.9%15 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.33per pick46cpaid+105.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over46c146.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.069937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under68c145$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.846742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over46c144$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7611655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over46c144$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7612253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Over46c114$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.562740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over46c110.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.784858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1713826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6426747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704524.4%11 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over46c98.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3265254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8411551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8411154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8412453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8411454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8410952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8412754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8411953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8413650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8412350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Under60c95.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.41957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over46c91.3$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.31866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over28c89.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.298744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Over47c88.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.424955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under54c87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.982552%13 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over48c87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1813648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over46c84.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7834553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over27c80.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5918055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.214155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.28242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.26647%31 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4446047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over34c75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under53c75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.756145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under54c74.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.993658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over46c72.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9815847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Over29c72.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.416136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under55c72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.422454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under54c69.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.792646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over46c64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.565950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Under56c63.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.461643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Over48c62.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.710242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over46c60.73$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.792050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.92030%6 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.