Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaca0f0fbeb378baa8ea185386b51266b6cb30700bfb7f3b731b6b935c4b05254
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,892$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.24 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 73c | 1,658$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.53 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,600$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.24 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 71c | 1,430$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.7 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 1,305$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.1 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 2c | 1,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +126%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 28c | 984$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.52 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 664.93$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.68 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 33c | 593.02$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 42c | 361.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.67 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Over | 49c | 360$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 40c | 320$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 29c | 268.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 33c | 211.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 52c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 67c | 157.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 151.07$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 143.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 58c | 138$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 27c | 100.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Over | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 71c | 72.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 52c | 67.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 73c | 63.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 56c | 62.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 28c | 61.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 69c | 60.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -76%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 51.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Over | 70c | 50.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 62c | 39.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…7eb2backed Over | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 73c | 27.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…a753backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…2646backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 72c | 18.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5this page
- Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.