TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$938,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$949,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $938,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf208…fa74backed No64c584,982$374,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210,890.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes36c247,962$89,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,051.939350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes36c75,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,0002552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes36c69,368$24,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,972.8693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No64c52,222$33,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,800.0721548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c48,826$18,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,529.222,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes37c43,146$15,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,765.8698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes37c35,792$13,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,109.0996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes38c23,381$8,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,772.618042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes37c23,085$8,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,482.9668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes35c17,712$6,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,276.264459.1%26 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+39.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Yes37c17,078$6,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3192748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb4…c1d1backed No63c11,014$6,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,053.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+145.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Yes9c9,236$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.339440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes44c9,099$3,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,971.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No62c8,043$4,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,056.486940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes36c8,006$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.6540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes37c6,500$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes38c6,442$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.964445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes34c6,111$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.281,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes0c5,441$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.822714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-67.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes63c5,004$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.8924238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d75…6972backed Yes37c4,280$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No63c4,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.999631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Yes23c3,605$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.832334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No62c3,500$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3304860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac7a…29c8backed No62c3,492$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.44875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No62c3,331$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.647248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes37c3,096$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.622466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9814249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No48c2,839$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.934245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes37c2,588$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.5620143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes63c2,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes37c2,428$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.974447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa220…1aefbacked Yes38c2,293$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes39c2,151$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.899576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes60c2,081$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.920431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c2,080$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.8749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes36c2,075$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.2540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes36c2,043$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.4833357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes1c2,037$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.82358.6%3 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2603033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7603148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes38c1,888$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.56428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes37c1,841$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b4f…267ebacked Yes4c1,800$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No76c1,674$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.745967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No65c1,619$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.593661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Yes37c1,541$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No75c1,415$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.829862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes39c1,322$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.51714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes38c1,320$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.610940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003030%9 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x909b…6a0dbacked Yes37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No38c1,174$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.843228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes36c1,033$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.2949137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3807055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3806839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes63c940.06$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.243754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No61c931.1$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.1634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes56c892.85$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.994463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes38c825$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.55341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes37c818.26$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.392941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Yes38c814$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.322466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Yes37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c9…2735backed No64c781.41$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes39c750$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.55530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x195f…3442backed Yes36c706.44$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes64c700.77$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick64cpaid-60.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No62c678$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.644355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes35c642.95$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.039627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes38c636.84$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d0…26c7backed Yes63c635$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Yes10c631.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2282657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed No63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No62c599.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22826046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes38c599.47$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.84858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes35c580.62$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.231546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed No38c531.58$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No62c499.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Yes63c498.81$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…76afbacked No62c484$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.92757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes38c467$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.466863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Yes38c455$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.91154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Yes7c454.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Yes37c449.75$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.011338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No62c417.8$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.767332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes62c402.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59b2…b787backed Yes66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+73.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15211268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes36c377.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2346047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Yes10c376.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes38c354.45$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.695135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.