TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes0c20,055$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.710039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0b…57d5backed Yes33c4,277$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes33c3,600$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1884445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c3,377$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02096942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No69c3,134$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.874971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c2,930$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.8898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes32c2,650$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.967248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c2,513$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.6493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No54c1,887$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.79440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c1,792$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.4568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c1,724$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.012,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes42c1,487$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.873661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c1,461$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.6549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed No68c1,368$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes24c1,280$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.39627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes32c1,125$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes32c1,079$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.288042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No69c981$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.118058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes32c969.7$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31133951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No61c956.72$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.841546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked No68c910.77$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.692759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Yes17c838$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes24c796$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.043033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes28c792.62$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.994245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No72c781.05$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0229862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No68c677.99$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.964355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes32c599.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes25c594.77$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes18c589.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.816819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d0…26c7backed Yes26c565$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1607830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes20c485$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972222.7%5 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…9cc5backed No68c485$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.25100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No70c479.71$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1749137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4b2…3d80backed Yes32c445$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x390b…78ccbacked No69c430$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No71c425.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7414347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f8…ef29backed No69c415$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.654100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12446047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12410038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes11c366.6$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.521618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No68c349.96$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes31c341.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.21714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes26c335.32$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.18728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No53c326$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5820431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9626046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15031738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa04d…c86fbacked No69c284$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.04875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe44d…0473backed No71c280.45$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes17c273.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.631,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c5d…2d94backed No68c272$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.044100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f6…3149backed Yes32c269.94$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10e…f4e2backed No68c269$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.086100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+72.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.52832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes31c241.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa198…9249backed No68c238$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes20c228.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa787…a9d1backed Yes22c215.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6238547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No67c181.54$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.155959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27f…0329backed No69c160$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d6…3273backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes25c150$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3711619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ef…8febbacked No68c142$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes32c130$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.64032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ad…85eabacked No69c130$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f74…3872backed No68c129$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes18c125$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8817529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc255…c3d8backed No68c116$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.124100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x876f…4f66backed No69c116$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.967100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Yes17c114.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes26c110$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.97439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes25c108.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6949…3d45backed Yes18c105$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3221445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326540%26 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No67c99.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.994379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No68c98.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4923245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No67c92.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5712153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…4e25backed Yes25c88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed No69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.968160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes33c81.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.565836.2%21 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.19576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes32c78.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.14147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-75.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes18c77.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.