TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$248,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes24c27,860$6,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,139.88139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes57c20,370$11,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,856.8421548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No32c18,715$5,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,957.379440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb4…c1d1backed Yes30c16,694$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,685.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+145.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes64c15,649$9,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,655.442,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes30c12,600$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,783.918342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No71c10,307$7,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,283.744447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c8,217$5,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,663.9840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes30c7,428$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,227.6896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ea…9a8cbacked No70c6,379$4,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,465.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0b…57d5backed Yes30c4,277$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,993.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c4,197$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,972.3768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes69c3,431$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.0693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1007332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No13c2,924$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.861,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked No69c2,899$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa8…242dbacked Yes30c2,288$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c2,157$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.9298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x909b…6a0dbacked No70c1,964$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No32c1,842$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.3817744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes31c1,800$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2426442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No69c1,789$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.412466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b4f…267ebacked Yes32c1,112$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No70c1,027$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.961776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed No69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed No70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6909631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No9c999.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No57c986.34$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.6720431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes28c706.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.334245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes26c702.08$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9234643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No71c683$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.9311153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No69c678$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.824355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c674.44$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.0929862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No61c656$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.2349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2b…d830backed Yes25c600$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.051850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes55c554.57$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.554463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Yes80c528.83$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.82666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed No63c525.89$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.221866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No49c510.14$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5524238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34510038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No54c459.04$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1349137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes31c424.93$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.24858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e7f…2015backed No12c420$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.16540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No70c381.6$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1226046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked No70c362.86$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-60.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No48c353.39$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3831738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes13c350$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.53438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed No30c340$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No22c316.36$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ce…5310backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+150.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21021445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked No69c294.5$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes30c293.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No70c271.57$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes8c257.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.061770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+99%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Yes24c252.59$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.294151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes14c250$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2155532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes30c250$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf23…ee81backed Yes32c244.13$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+133.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No69c242.19$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.325959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No52c216$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9232843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13816251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No50c186$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9346742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes67c183.71$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.731741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed Yes51c171.39$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.02683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+70.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No70c168.45$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9243058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.673417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes30c166.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6633144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.856253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+129.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No25c139.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9228931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Yes43c129.06$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.872330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed No31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-76.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe1c3…a583backed Yes67c125$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c125$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No70c121.43$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes31c117.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.571776.5%13 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.35per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6e1b…4b36backed Yes69c115.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc88…770ebacked No70c101$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692025%5 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8815623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc35a…b9f2backed Yes69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Yes29c98.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.19333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No69c98.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6914845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No42c98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.742250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed No31c95.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c93.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9420749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes14c92.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8615635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes40c84.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.867462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6512134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce9…aa53backed Yes29c80.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Yes32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed No72c76.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.