Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00f893fd099ebdb1e9a5a75347aaa480f3e6c2330b6da41edc9140b73a482429
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,624,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,680,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,624,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf208…fa74backed No | 50c | 1,148,342$578,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578,349.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 202,522$106,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,664.57 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 50c | 157,303$78,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,651.5 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 156,142$76,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,469.95 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 50c | 128,361$64,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,180.33 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 51c | 108,631$55,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,701.8 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Yes | 50c | 78,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,000 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 49c | 70,000$34,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,299.97 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 58,897$29,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,380.06 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 49c | 54,583$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,583.33 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 50c | 44,764$22,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,513.38 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Yes | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Yes | 50c | 31,000$15,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,350 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 42c | 12,270$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,164.03 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 48c | 11,587$5,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,561.76 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 49c | 11,335$5,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,554.15 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 51c | 10,314$5,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,053.71 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 51c | 9,766$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.21 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…b901backed Yes | 51c | 9,290$4,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 50c | 9,251$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,625.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 49c | 8,000$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 48c | 8,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 6,879$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.92 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 50c | 6,485$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.56 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 50c | 6,200$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 48c | 6,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.94 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Yes | 50c | 5,961$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 50c | 5,322$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 48c | 5,146$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.04 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 51c | 4,194$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.91 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 50c | 3,961$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.78 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Yes | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 50c | 3,900$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 47c | 3,700$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.4 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 2,780$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.03 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 69c | 2,635$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.98 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Yes | 51c | 2,621$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.66 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 46c | 2,391$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…29c8backed No | 48c | 2,391$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 2,136$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.94 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd7…029abacked Yes | 53c | 2,113$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 50c | 2,108$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.22 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 2,003$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.56 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 49c | 1,884$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.47 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…695fbacked No | 49c | 1,663$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…722ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,641$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 51c | 1,599$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.51 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 11c | 1,396$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 38c | 1,382$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.18 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 52c | 1,320$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.6 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…99d4backed Yes | 51c | 1,276$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked No | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.27 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…88d0backed No | 48c | 1,104$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 8c | 1,063$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 41c | 1,043$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.25 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…9959backed Yes | 52c | 959.71$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes | 45c | 886.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed No | 50c | 840$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked No | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 11c | 750$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 35c | 744$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.95 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 19c | 735.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.18 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a6…ca5fbacked No | 50c | 689.12$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…e1dcbacked Yes | 52c | 615.35$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 41c | 610$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.9 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 52c | 598.08$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.08 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd79…989ebacked No | 48c | 591.67$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…cc19backed No | 50c | 590$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 43c | 550$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 46c | 540$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 52c | 523.08$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 37c | 508.24$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.52 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed6f…2378backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 48c | 487.4$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +190.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e9…e484backed Yes | 43c | 452$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 53c | 428.84$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.55 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Yes | 53c | 418.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf4…4de6backed No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.