Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x703bc20373f5ea1614f92b661e583e36185e089e1fef1f451c17d27db710308c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 78c | 92,334$72,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,313.37 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 22c | 49,211$10,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,826.52 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 26,933$5,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,107.37 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 19,880$4,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,382.41 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 15,735$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.77 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 78c | 14,500$11,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.98 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 12,339$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.44 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 22c | 9,053$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.09 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 78c | 6,569$5,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.92 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 78c | 5,807$4,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.48 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 22c | 4,194$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.61 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 22c | 3,968$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.22 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 23c | 3,900$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 3,496$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.21 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 78c | 3,222$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.84 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 22c | 2,788$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.36 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 2,396$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.89 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 2,094$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.44 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,080$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 22c | 1,895$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.9 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,601$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.26 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 24c | 1,599$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 1,412$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.64 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,227$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 18c | 1,021$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.88 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf250…de38backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 15c | 733$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 78c | 358.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 22c | 345.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed No | 74c | 333$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 24c | 277.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 22c | 224.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 18c | 217.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4f8bbacked No | 74c | 201.89$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 78c | 182$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0383…7034backed No | 77c | 146.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 22c | 137.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 76c | 136.26$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed No | 78c | 132.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…7b21backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 128.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…87e8backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 77c | 126$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 22c | 117.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 23c | 116.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 23c | 110.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 21c | 109.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 102$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…d364backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 14c | 97.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 96.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…dfa6backed Yes | 22c | 83.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed No | 77c | 82.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 76c | 65.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed No | 78c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 24c | 53.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…237dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ad…8570backed Yes | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked No | 77c | 47.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 76c | 47.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 77c | 38.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 78c | 29.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…51ebbacked No | 78c | 28.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked No | 79c | 22.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 80c | 20.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…4711backed No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.