Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01e4901e57b09a95ca01a8271cc31fb00e3cc245be7cea3355d1ebdd38582b56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 74c | 22,052$16,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,733.57 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 15,767$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104.86 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 74c | 5,717$4,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.42 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 75c | 4,875$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.64 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 4,289$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.75 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 4,194$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.36 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 3,087$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.52 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Yes | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 74c | 1,629$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.51 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 1,547$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.18 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 1,120$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.23 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 1,112$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.97 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 74c | 1,111$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.86 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 24c | 1,080$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.22 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 74c | 771.03$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.47 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 755.4$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c7fdbacked No | 59c | 659.32$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes | 36c | 638.84$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 74c | 617$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 74c | 511.23$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 500$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.47 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 3c | 490$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 74c | 399.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 26c | 369.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 36c | 350.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9cb5backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +190.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked No | 46c | 278.26$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 16c | 260$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Yes | 9c | 160.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 69c | 134.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 74c | 132$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Yes | 19c | 117.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…fd5bbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 26c | 89.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 49c | 86.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…9bbebacked Yes | 27c | 84.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 63c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…4b36backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 74c | 75.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…237dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…ffdfbacked Yes | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 75c | 66.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Yes | 26c | 64.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 60c | 59.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 61c | 57.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed Yes | 26c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 26c | 43.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…b4fbbacked Yes | 59c | 42.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 47c | 27.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed No | 75c | 26.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 75c | 26.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Yes | 62c | 25.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 68c | 23.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…26a7backed No | 75c | 21.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2860…604dbacked No | 75c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked No | 75c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.