TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Inter win on 2025-10-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5422…a780backed Yes48c25,126$12,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,171.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No52c20,297$10,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,841.4617543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x800f…3586backed Yes44c11,370$5,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No56c11,123$6,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,894.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No54c10,917$5,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,973.824657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes45c10,762$4,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.065538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes44c10,386$4,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5435052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c6,403$3,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.132,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No55c5,156$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.765761.4%35 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No57c4,837$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.8920143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No55c4,452$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.1911848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No60c3,991$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.194841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c2,937$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.071,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No59c2,797$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.1313754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes31c2,709$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.9912134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No59c2,592$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.0216154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698a…595ebacked No57c2,482$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes43c2,324$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.231457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c2,296$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.6448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes46c2,168$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003630.6%11 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes42c1,197$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3968958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No61c899.99$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35312649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes40c861.46$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3472540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes40c716.25$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No59c695.12$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28522551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No58c677$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.632748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes42c635$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.73850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes45c604.36$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0124238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes44c599.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26414254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No54c560$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8452…e978backed Yes22c550$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+137.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No58c499.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No80c480.36$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.073551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda10…eeccbacked Yes44c440.44$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a0…8ca8backed Yes46c391.3$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No61c379.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.28463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes43c377$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.652737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No57c362$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.662166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+36.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.142378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6315623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked No56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed No56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes47c293.62$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca35…ade5backed Yes44c284.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1770…9483backed No58c280$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a9…6324backed Yes42c280$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b3…f830backed Yes40c277$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.81526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-58.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa518…747cbacked Yes36c276.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes34c270$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9620033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…209dbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes40c252.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes41c245.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick47cpaid-86.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-71.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb64f…03dbbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes40c230$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.46731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes18c226.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5912422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7826…20b1backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd81…d892backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes38c218.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.969651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes41c216.49$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.266056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes42c209$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7813840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e2f…2785backed Yes45c208.53$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes46c204.35$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No51c184.24$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.285848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No54c174.74$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.385240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed No58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No61c170$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6714742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d83…ac87backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No54c165.87$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.910260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa78…d2d8backed No62c161.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes44c156.83$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes44c156.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6913752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa633…497dbacked Yes44c156.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ab…d418backed Yes44c156.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes44c156.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x618a…6196backed Yes44c156.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ae…0426backed Yes44c156.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cad…2032backed Yes44c156.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b4…08d7backed Yes45c153.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde43…ec94backed Yes45c153.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ea…f860backed Yes45c153.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No57c150$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.731566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8189…fa33backed Yes15c148$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes45c134.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609353.8%50 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes47c128.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb520…c3d0backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.