TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Napoli win on 2025-10-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,439 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No37c6,770$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.371,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c4,787$3,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,445.3321058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes27c3,737$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.5411832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes28c3,602$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.148334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No70c2,366$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9824657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No73c2,096$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.4916154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes27c2,060$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.795538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c2,050$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.9613517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.753423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c1,549$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.162,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes61c1,393$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.4443058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf49a…895cbacked No53c1,234$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes48c1,107$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.951266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c2…51f9backed Yes52c1,039$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7102737%10 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No71c996.78$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.7117543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No48c974.08$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.9813754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x927a…4eaebacked Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes28c713.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51412452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes25c712.76$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.573636.1%13 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes47c711.16$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.344459.1%26 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+39.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x02a0…8ca8backed Yes27c666.67$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes30c628$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.3644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c607$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.1748144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes28c600$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4322330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes26c600$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4444367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes28c480$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3448463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No54c407.68$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.134841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No49c396.08$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.089149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes61c395.41$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.915448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed No51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002171.4%15 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+51.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes41c380.76$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.768548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No29c371.26$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1924238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes27c348.15$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.152025%5 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e8…0596backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.831838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No39c330$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.720033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No58c310.02$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802450%12 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9494…308abacked Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No67c300$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa333…292bbacked Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22212540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes27c282.41$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.163754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c4…dda8backed Yes25c280$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes25c256$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc72b…3756backed No39c243$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.771154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked No34c223.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbc…5d23backed No49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+72.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d6…7cc2backed Yes50c207.32$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x919a…c017backed Yes49c202$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f8d…e3ebbacked Yes49c177$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed No52c151.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.973953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No73c142.66$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.859240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed No72c140.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.419353.8%50 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa633…497dbacked No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ab…d418backed No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1167…dd5dbacked No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ae…0426backed No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cad…2032backed No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ea…f860backed No75c133.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde43…ec94backed No75c133.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b4…08d7backed No75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23ae…b7b7backed No75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x618a…6196backed No75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9461…a76bbacked Yes52c125.27$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes32c117.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.29922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No15c115.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.285127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+110.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c108.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes27c108$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.843724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.844641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No69c105$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.459643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No26c103.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.672828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No71c100.48$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0414742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed Yes30c99.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09f…4ad6backed Yes50c95.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes28c93.31$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.211030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No52c87.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.594330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x834b…1fa7backed Yes29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x640d…51e2backed Yes57c85.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes36c83.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.864860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc358…2ac9backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed No48c81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.212740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No74c77.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.513752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc414…fab1backed Yes53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No39c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2528445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9efd…1880backed No75c74.88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0bf…74fdbacked Yes29c70.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a5…4f7cbacked Yes64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504060%24 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3dc…d8b2backed Yes74c63.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.514100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe31a…d44dbacked Yes31c63.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes30c62.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes25c61.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0811546.1%53 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.