TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2d6…7cc2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT5470.4%38 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$8.38
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+55%+$31.87
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$20.25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$11.32
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$8.27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$10.8
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.09
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$13.51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$12.87
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.87
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$11.08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.82
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+54%+$5.56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$11.59
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$38.3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+64.7%+$11.59
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.14
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.74
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$26.15
Will Everton win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.55
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+27.7%+$3.9
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-43.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.12
Blackhawks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.81
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.45
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+146.4%+$29.71
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$179
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.2%+$8.99
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. BYUbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Southern Miss vs. Louisianabacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.04
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+68.5%+$7.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$7.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.2%+$12.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.