NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c7271e663e14556436b27a9314cc87f35d1b946477e64030d92b9b53eab2de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,418,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,440,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,418,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Grizzlies | 59c | 893,158$525,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525,339.96 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Heat | 41c | 446,221$182,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263,270.47 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Heat | 41c | 149,395$61,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,142.97 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Heat | 42c | 86,883$36,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,653.79 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Heat | 41c | 54,370$22,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,078.3 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Heat | 42c | 39,408$16,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,914.51 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Heat | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,399.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Grizzlies | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,399.99 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…ce5ebacked Heat | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,250 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 43c | 23,668$10,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,395.2 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Heat | 47c | 22,000$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,640.44 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9011…4a6abacked Heat | 50c | 15,064$7,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,532 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…e403backed Grizzlies | 50c | 15,064$7,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,532 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Grizzlies | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Heat | 42c | 14,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,119.98 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Grizzlies | 59c | 12,698$7,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,491.86 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Heat | 42c | 12,650$5,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,337 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Heat | 41c | 11,111$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.49 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Heat | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.99 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Grizzlies | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.96 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Grizzlies | 52c | 9,847$5,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,128.84 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91cc…18c3backed Heat | 40c | 9,720$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,832 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Heat | 42c | 9,524$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.81 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Grizzlies | 52c | 9,408$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.65 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…5650backed Grizzlies | 60c | 9,046$5,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,427.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…041dbacked Heat | 40c | 9,046$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6764…6383backed Heat | 40c | 8,981$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…7985backed Grizzlies | 60c | 8,400$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…a198backed Grizzlies | 60c | 8,400$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Heat | 41c | 8,199$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,837.18 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 8,071$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.97 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Heat | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…3848backed Grizzlies | 60c | 6,700$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 43c | 6,665$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.28 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Heat | 40c | 5,983$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.51 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 43c | 5,967$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat | 40c | 5,518$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.94 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…3539backed Heat | 41c | 5,300$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…3dc8backed Grizzlies | 60c | 5,300$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Heat | 42c | 5,007$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.07 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…24fdbacked Heat | 40c | 4,800$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Heat | 42c | 4,679$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.33 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 4,090$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Heat | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Heat | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Grizzlies | 15c | 3,938$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.2 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…9a80backed Grizzlies | 0c | 3,910$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Grizzlies | 0c | 3,689$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Heat | 42c | 3,525$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.5 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 57c | 3,487$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.24 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 42c | 3,423$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Heat | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…86fdbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Heat | 51c | 2,856$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.98 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Heat | 41c | 2,599$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Grizzlies | 14c | 2,457$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.9 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Heat | 55c | 2,391$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.87 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 38c | 2,268$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 50c | 2,250$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.58 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Grizzlies | 57c | 2,235$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.84 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 2,115$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.63 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.03 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Heat | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.24 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 1,974$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.03 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,954$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.52 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Grizzlies | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Grizzlies | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Grizzlies | 17c | 1,592$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.71 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…cf12backed Grizzlies | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Heat | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Grizzlies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Heat | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Heat | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Heat | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Heat | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Grizzlies | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac0…a4f8backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Grizzlies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…fb32backed Grizzlies | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Heat | 41c | 946$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.14 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies | 60c | 894.15$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.69 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Grizzlies | 61c | 852.78$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Heat | 41c | 835.22$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.97 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Heat | 42c | 828.57$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.57 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Grizzlies | 56c | 819.5$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.92 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Heat | 36c | 807.48$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.78 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Heat | 42c | 785.96$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.34 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Heat | 42c | 749.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Heat | 40c | 719.06$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.44 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 55c | 712$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.24 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Heat | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Grizzlies | 4c | 695.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Heat | 41c | 685$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.24 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 41c | 672$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.56 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Heat | 48c | 637.97$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.39 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Heat vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Heat vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Heat vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Heat vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.