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NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blackhawksof Blackhawks, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Blackhawks37c40,000$14,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,15042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings62c38,791$24,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,050.411,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Red Wings63c33,962$21,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,363.9714538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Blackhawks38c33,268$12,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,626.2321652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Red Wings62c21,429$13,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,286.1513449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Blackhawks38c12,749$4,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,904.6414057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings63c8,995$5,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,666.8270547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Blackhawks38c7,500$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,65010356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blackhawks38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Blackhawks70c4,521$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.4440550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Blackhawks38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,48030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Red Wings35c2,473$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.4443743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks38c2,354$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.5364242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings62c2,180$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.4692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Red Wings62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24016743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Blackhawks38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Blackhawks73c1,891$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.4533848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Red Wings63c1,890$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2008541.2%35 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Red Wings56c1,782$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.8wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-49.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Blackhawks37c1,412$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.4830848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Red Wings13c1,374$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5818237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Red Wings31c1,364$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.5682043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2e…b5e5backed Red Wings64c1,250$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings34c1,222$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.342,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blackhawks69c1,217$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.3395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Red Wings14c1,212$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6837857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Wings62c1,209$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.581,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Blackhawks37c1,161$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.841246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks36c1,133$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.8688151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Red Wings63c1,130$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.6410658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings42c1,115$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.282,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Blackhawks40c1,085$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.9311946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Blackhawks39c1,019$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Blackhawks37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63091653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Red Wings24c994.97$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Red Wings62c977.41$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.2537847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c9…88e2backed Blackhawks37c970$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Blackhawks36c872.99$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.4962249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blackhawks37c862.06$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks36c855.23$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.342,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Wings62c803.99$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.4775155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings57c652.76$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.771,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Blackhawks36c596.39$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.6919942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Blackhawks39c559$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.9926344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Blackhawks37c551.01$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.141,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Blackhawks38c531$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2258841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e1b…70afbacked Red Wings63c499.98$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5983…dd68backed Red Wings63c470$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Blackhawks66c460.65$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5693953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Red Wings42c380.9$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1415839.9%63 W · 95 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings30c375.05$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.893,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd3…fed4backed Blackhawks41c363.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.311643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Blackhawks65c360.67$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7884953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Red Wings20c358.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4799638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blackhawks36c352.36$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.511,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Blackhawks38c350$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21723741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings32c345.14$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.861,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Red Wings64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Red Wings61c299.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18338857.2%222 W · 166 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Blackhawks39c262.29$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1715044.7%67 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Blackhawks39c256$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1678038.5%300 W · 480 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Red Wings62c242$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.041030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Red Wings62c241.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022949.3%113 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Red Wings37c240$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…2decbacked Blackhawks37c238$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.945644.6%25 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Red Wings64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022051.4%113 W · 107 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3289…4538backed Red Wings64c232$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.483148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Red Wings61c209.85$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0269550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Red Wings64c195.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8616750.9%85 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf01…0f44backed Blackhawks37c191.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.892347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Blackhawks40c170.33$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.229241.1%120 W · 172 L-0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Blackhawks37c168.15$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1631047.4%147 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Red Wings16c159.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2657238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97da…d63bbacked Blackhawks36c159.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3920249.5%100 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Red Wings63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x616a…5046backed Red Wings64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed3b…3ebfbacked Red Wings64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb7d…5b5abacked Blackhawks39c154.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.741546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Blackhawks39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8569142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Blackhawks65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8510255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks44c151$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.21,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1822…0e6abacked Blackhawks37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Red Wings62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Blackhawks37c134.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0419836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blackhawks36c122.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.351,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Red Wings61c122$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4230952.4%162 W · 147 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings61c113.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.291,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d6…7cc2backed Red Wings13c112.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-43.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Red Wings49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Red Wings63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635036%18 W · 32 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed Blackhawks37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x088e…06ffbacked Blackhawks38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blackhawks39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Blackhawks38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6292444.5%411 W · 513 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Blackhawks38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Blackhawks37c99.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.991,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x686a…c769backed Red Wings64c93.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602650%13 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x124d…0b8abacked Red Wings63c93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.591154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Blackhawks37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.086946.4%32 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9f…a3f3backed Red Wings62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.